The Donald’s Reelection Narrative: The Greatest BS Story Ever Told, Part 2

Trump’s retroactive claim that he shutdown the Greatest Economy Ever to save the lives of 2.5 million Americans is hideous hogwash. That number is actually the ballyhooed Imperial College projection of disgraced Gates operative, Neil Ferguson.

The essence of the March 16 Ferguson report was as follows:

In the (unlikely) absence of any control measures or spontaneous changes in individual behavior, we would expect a peak in mortality (daily deaths) to occur after approximately 3 months. In such scenarios, given an estimated R0 of 2.4, we predict 81% of the G.B. and U.S. populations would be infected over the course of the epidemic… In total, in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in G.B. and 2.2 million in the U.S., not accounting for the potential negative effects of health systems being overwhelmed on mortality.

Those projections were ridiculous from the get-go. For one thing, they implied a US mortality rate of 672 per 100,00 in the absence of severe mitigation measures including lockdowns and general quarantines.



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